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George Magnus

Economist and Author

George Magnus

Economist and Author

The US is starting to resemble an emerging market—and not in a good way

By George Magnus Posted on October 23, 2017November 16, 2017 In United States industrial concentration, US economy 0

First published: Prospectmagazine.co.uk, 23/10/2017

Political chaos could come to undermine America’s economic strength

I referred somewhat flippantly in a recent column here to America becoming an emerging market. 

You might say correctly that the world’s largest economy is in a different league. I meant it differently, though, and not, of course, as a compliment. For along with things that investment managers assure us of, including high economic growth and better prospective investment returns, emerging markets also present higher risks. These normally boil down to some combination of a dysfunctional political system and weak standards of economic governance.

So, while the US is at the moment economically head and shoulders above the likes of Brazil, Turkey, Russia, and in most respects China, the question is whether it is converging with them politically. And if so, will that eventually threaten to compromise America’s economic heft? Is the US, in effect, compromising political and institutional progress made over many years?…..Read more: 

Photo credit: Julien//K Manhattan from Brooklyn via photopin (license)

previously

previously

Xi Jinping consolidates his power in China
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up next

Here’s an idea: what if Trump tried appointing an actual economist to lead the Federal Reserve?

About

George Magnus

George Magnus

George Magnus is an independent economist and commentator, an Associate at the China Centre, Oxford University, and an adviser to some asset management companies.

He is a regular contributor to the Financial Times, Prospect Magazine and other written media, and appears regularly on BBC TV and radio, Bloomberg TV and other outlets.

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"George Magnus does not look like a prophet. Yet this is the man widely acknowledged to have predicted that the US sub-prime mortgage crisis would trigger a global recession."

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